Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 17.057173 19.393404 21.939903 24.922922 28.323302 32.080838 36.551064
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 14.118848 17.247255 20.912866 25.529903 31.198092 37.940246 46.585094
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.070751 15.732601 20.313051 26.475184 34.568935 44.866253 59.009212
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.133887 14.031828 19.214731 26.631907 37.013572 51.087672 71.719319
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.246249 12.084788 17.490123 25.689742 37.877454 55.425130 82.794304
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.757877 10.449119 15.936996 24.735336 38.582900 59.699397 94.650423
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.741194 9.342463 14.981175 24.512954 40.361427 65.902546 110.672136
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.997905 8.538988 14.364499 24.724359 42.881826 73.742693 130.917057
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.333201 7.753171 13.649673 24.654303 44.936192 81.206125 152.067429
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.917626 7.328597 13.481932 25.515012 48.800429 92.551719 182.573868
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.468313 6.766648 12.977058 25.671797 51.402617 102.079147 211.640167
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.986928 6.062423 12.091367 24.941245 52.153031 108.191226 235.177296
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.611524 5.517063 11.450456 24.645822 53.864907 116.840594 266.586397
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.383549 5.237777 11.305780 25.378895 57.948653 131.387774 314.575509
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.207080 5.039267 11.300855 26.429654 62.986613 149.141601 374.389407
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.992008 4.716629 10.968903 26.676142 66.227517 163.466198 429.417098
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.734186 4.248930 10.225330 25.802150 66.582221 170.936414 468.826110
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.511983 3.828271 9.521804 24.897402 66.693673 177.873573 508.703020
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.358251 3.552005 9.126349 24.716451 68.700904 190.276445 567.257598
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.243800 3.357286 8.905266 24.964425 71.959794 206.861437 642.541731
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.130051 3.144288 8.599542 24.921498 74.399456 221.705822 716.561608
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.065271 3.055335 8.616182 25.814908 79.827907 246.644337 829.730068
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.980789 2.895080 8.405119 25.992255 83.116634 265.822214 929.134042